Election Surveys
 
CD-13 2014 Special Election Survey - December 3, 2013

Telephone survey of active registered voters within U.S. Congressional District 13, conducted on December 3rd, 2013:
      (only voters that voted in the 2010 and 2012 general elections were considered active voters)

Total people polled: 1128

These results were scientifically weighted by political party, race and age.
Margin of error: ± 2.9% at a 95% confidence level


If the special election for the US Congressional district 13 seat were held today, and the candidates were
Republican Kathleen Peters, Democrat Alex Sink and Libertarian Lucas Overby, who would you vote for?
    Peters:           34.6%
    Sink:              47.7%
    Overby:            5.5%
    Undecided:    12.2%

If the candidates were Republican David Jolly, Democrat Alex Sink and Libertarian Lucas Overby, who would you vote for?
    Jolly:               36.3%
    Sink:               49.3%
    Overby:            5.6%
    Undecided:     8.8%

If the candidates were Republican Mark Bircher, Democrat Alex Sink and Libertarian Lucas Overby, who would you vote for?
    Bircher:             30.2%
    Sink:               50.4%
    Overby:            7.3%
    Undecided:     12.1%


REPUBLICANS ONLY:

In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for Mark Bircher, David Jolly or Kathleen Peters?
                    Responses: 534 (Margin of Error ± 4.2% at 95% confidence level)
    Bircher:                 17.2%
    Jolly:                   27.8%
    Peters:               27.1%
    Unsure:              28.0%




This poll was sponsored by SaintPetersBlog.com


DETAILED DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWNS (non-weighted percentages):



If the special election for the US Congressional district 13 seat were held today, and the candidates were Republican Kathleen Peters, Democrat Alex Sink and Libertarian Lucas Overby, who would you vote for?   1128 responses
Peters: 34.7%   Sink: 47.7%   Overby: 5.5%   Undecided: 12.1%                        
  Political Party Breakdown:
      Democratic Party   395 responses
      Peters:   9.4%     Sink:   80.8%   Overby:   2.0%     Undecided:   7.8%                        
      Republican Party   534 responses
      Peters:   56.4%     Sink:   20.4%   Overby:   7.1%     Undecided:   16.1%                        
      Independent Voter   199 responses
      Peters:   26.6%     Sink:   55.3%   Overby:   8.0%     Undecided:   10.1%                        
  Race Breakdown:
      White, Not Hispanic   1046 responses
      Peters:   35.5%     Sink:   47.2%   Overby:   5.4%     Undecided:   12.0%                        
      Black, Not Hispanic   27 responses
      Peters:   7.4%     Sink:   70.4%   Overby:   7.4%     Undecided:   14.8%                        
      Asian or Pacific Islander   6 responses
      Peters:   16.7%     Sink:   33.3%   Overby:   16.7%     Undecided:   33.3%                        
      Hispanic   21 responses
      Peters:   47.6%     Sink:   28.6%   Overby:   4.8%     Undecided:   19.0%                        
      Other or Unknown   28 responses
      Peters:   25.0%     Sink:   60.7%   Overby:   7.1%     Undecided:   7.1%                        
  Gender Breakdown:
      Male   478 responses
      Peters:   38.3%     Sink:   46.0%   Overby:   6.9%     Undecided:   8.8%                        
      Female   650 responses
      Peters:   32.0%     Sink:   48.9%   Overby:   4.5%     Undecided:   14.6%                        
  Age Breakdown:
      18 to 29   44 responses
      Peters:   27.3%     Sink:   45.5%   Overby:   4.5%     Undecided:   22.7%                        
      30 to 49   242 responses
      Peters:   35.5%     Sink:   43.0%   Overby:   8.7%     Undecided:   12.8%                        
      50 to 69   510 responses
      Peters:   36.9%     Sink:   47.8%   Overby:   6.1%     Undecided:   9.2%                        
      70 and up   332 responses
      Peters:   31.6%     Sink:   51.2%   Overby:   2.4%     Undecided:   14.8%                        
If the candidates were Republican David Jolly, Democrat Alex Sink and Libertarian Lucas Overby, who would you vote for?   1128 responses
Jolly: 36.3%   Sink: 49.3%   Overby: 5.6%   Undecided: 8.8%                        
  Political Party Breakdown:
      Democratic Party   395 responses
      Jolly:   8.4%     Sink:   83.0%   Overby:   2.3%     Undecided:   6.3%                        
      Republican Party   534 responses
      Jolly:   61.4%     Sink:   22.1%   Overby:   6.6%     Undecided:   9.9%                        
      Independent Voter   199 responses
      Jolly:   24.6%     Sink:   55.3%   Overby:   9.5%     Undecided:   10.6%                        
  Race Breakdown:
      White, Not Hispanic   1046 responses
      Jolly:   37.4%     Sink:   48.6%   Overby:   5.4%     Undecided:   8.6%                        
      Black, Not Hispanic   27 responses
      Jolly:   3.7%     Sink:   81.5%   Overby:   3.7%     Undecided:   11.1%                        
      Asian or Pacific Islander   6 responses
      Jolly:   33.3%     Sink:   33.3%   Overby:   16.7%     Undecided:   16.7%                        
      Hispanic   21 responses
      Jolly:   47.6%     Sink:   28.6%   Overby:   9.5%     Undecided:   14.3%                        
      Other or Unknown   28 responses
      Jolly:   21.4%     Sink:   64.3%   Overby:   7.1%     Undecided:   7.1%                        
  Gender Breakdown:
      Male   478 responses
      Jolly:   38.3%     Sink:   48.7%   Overby:   6.7%     Undecided:   6.3%                        
      Female   650 responses
      Jolly:   34.9%     Sink:   49.7%   Overby:   4.8%     Undecided:   10.6%                        
  Age Breakdown:
      18 to 29   44 responses
      Jolly:   43.2%     Sink:   47.7%   Overby:  0%     Undecided:   9.1%                        
      30 to 49   242 responses
      Jolly:   34.3%     Sink:   44.6%   Overby:   8.7%     Undecided:   12.4%                        
      50 to 69   510 responses
      Jolly:   36.1%     Sink:   49.8%   Overby:   7.1%     Undecided:   7.1%                        
      70 and up   332 responses
      Jolly:   37.3%     Sink:   52.1%   Overby:   1.8%     Undecided:   8.7%                        
If the candidates were Republican Mark Bircher, Democrat Alex Sink and Libertarian Lucas Overby, who would you vote for?   1128 responses
Bircher: 30.2%   Sink: 50.4%   Overby: 7.3%   Undecided: 12.1%                        
  Political Party Breakdown:
      Democratic Party   395 responses
      Bircher:   6.1%     Sink:   84.1%   Overby:   3.5%     Undecided:   6.3%                        
      Republican Party   534 responses
      Bircher:   49.8%     Sink:   24.0%   Overby:   8.8%     Undecided:   17.4%                        
      Independent Voter   199 responses
      Bircher:   25.6%     Sink:   54.3%   Overby:   10.6%     Undecided:   9.5%                        
  Race Breakdown:
      White, Not Hispanic   1046 responses
      Bircher:   31.0%     Sink:   49.5%   Overby:   7.3%     Undecided:   12.2%                        
      Black, Not Hispanic   27 responses
      Bircher:   3.7%     Sink:   85.2%   Overby:   3.7%     Undecided:   7.4%                        
      Asian or Pacific Islander   6 responses
      Bircher:   50.0%     Sink:   33.3%   Overby:   16.7%     Undecided:  0%                        
      Hispanic   21 responses
      Bircher:   38.1%     Sink:   33.3%   Overby:   9.5%     Undecided:   19.0%                        
      Other or Unknown   28 responses
      Bircher:   17.9%     Sink:   64.3%   Overby:   7.1%     Undecided:   10.7%                        
  Gender Breakdown:
      Male   478 responses
      Bircher:   31.8%     Sink:   49.6%   Overby:   8.4%     Undecided:   10.3%                        
      Female   650 responses
      Bircher:   29.1%     Sink:   50.9%   Overby:   6.5%     Undecided:   13.5%                        
  Age Breakdown:
      18 to 29   44 responses
      Bircher:   31.8%     Sink:   45.5%   Overby:   4.5%     Undecided:   18.2%                        
      30 to 49   242 responses
      Bircher:   29.3%     Sink:   47.1%   Overby:   9.5%     Undecided:   14.0%                        
      50 to 69   510 responses
      Bircher:   31.0%     Sink:   50.0%   Overby:   9.2%     Undecided:   9.8%                        
      70 and up   332 responses
      Bircher:   29.5%     Sink:   53.9%   Overby:   3.0%     Undecided:   13.6%                        
In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for Mark Bircher, David Jolly or Kathleen Peters?   534 responses
Bircher: 17.0%   Jolly: 28.5%   Peters: 27.2%   Unsure: 27.3%                        
  Political Party Breakdown:
      Democratic Party   0 responses
      Bircher:  0%     Jolly:  0%   Peters:  0%     Unsure:  0%                        
      Republican Party   534 responses
      Bircher:   17.0%     Jolly:   28.5%   Peters:   27.2%     Unsure:   27.3%                        
      Independent Voter   0 responses
      Bircher:  0%     Jolly:  0%   Peters:  0%     Unsure:  0%                        
  Race Breakdown:
      White, Not Hispanic   514 responses
      Bircher:   16.9%     Jolly:   29.4%   Peters:   27.2%     Unsure:   26.5%                        
      Black, Not Hispanic   3 responses
      Bircher:   33.3%     Jolly:  0%   Peters:   33.3%     Unsure:   33.3%                        
      Asian or Pacific Islander   1 responses
      Bircher:  0%     Jolly:  0%   Peters:  0%     Unsure:  100.0%                        
      Hispanic   10 responses
      Bircher:   20.0%     Jolly:   10.0%   Peters:   20.0%     Unsure:   50.0%                        
      Other or Unknown   6 responses
      Bircher:   16.7%     Jolly:  0%   Peters:   33.3%     Unsure:   50.0%                        
  Gender Breakdown:
      Male   226 responses
      Bircher:   19.9%     Jolly:   29.6%   Peters:   27.0%     Unsure:   23.5%                        
      Female   308 responses
      Bircher:   14.9%     Jolly:   27.6%   Peters:   27.3%     Unsure:   30.2%                        
  Age Breakdown:
      18 to 29   16 responses
      Bircher:   12.5%     Jolly:   31.2%   Peters:   6.2%     Unsure:   50.0%                        
      30 to 49   107 responses
      Bircher:   16.8%     Jolly:   28.0%   Peters:   30.8%     Unsure:   24.3%                        
      50 to 69   245 responses
      Bircher:   15.5%     Jolly:   26.5%   Peters:   29.8%     Unsure:   28.2%                        
      70 and up   166 responses
      Bircher:   19.9%     Jolly:   31.3%   Peters:   22.9%     Unsure:   25.9%                        
 
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