Election Surveys
 
CD-13 2014 Special Election Survey

Telephone survey of active registered voters within U.S. Congressional District 13, conducted on November 18th, 2013:
      (only voters that voted in the 2010 and 2012 general elections were considered active voters)

Total people polled: 1252

These results were scientifically weighted by political party, race and age.
Margin of error: 2.8% at a 95% confidence level


If the special election for the US Congressional district 13 seat were held today, and
the candidates were Kathleen Peters and Alex Sink, who would you vote for?

    Peters:           30.7%
    Sink:              49.7%
    Undecided:    19.6%

If the candidates were David Jolly and Alex Sink, who would you vote for?
    Jolly:               34.9%
    Sink:               49.3%
    Undecided:     15.7%


REPUBLICANS ONLY:

In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for David Jolly, Kathleen Peters or Someone else?
                    Responses: 582 (Margin of Error 4.1% at 95% confidence level)
    Jolly:                   39.2%
    Peters:               17.3%
    Someone else:   30.9%
    Unsure:              12.6%



DETAILED DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWNS (non-weighted percentages):



If the special election for the US Congressional district 13 seat were held today, and the candidates were Kathleen Peters and Alex Sink, who would you vote for?   1252 responses
Peters: 30.8%   Sink: 49.7%   Undecided: 19.6%                            
  Political Party Breakdown:
      Democratic Party   429 responses
      Peters:   11.7%     Sink:   76.0%   Undecided:   12.4%                            
      Republican Party   582 responses
      Peters:   47.3%     Sink:   27.8%   Undecided:   24.9%                            
      Independent Voter   241 responses
      Peters:   24.9%     Sink:   55.6%   Undecided:   19.5%                            
  Race Breakdown:
      White, Not Hispanic   1182 responses
      Peters:   31.4%     Sink:   49.7%   Undecided:   19.0%                            
      Black, Not Hispanic   30 responses
      Peters:   10.0%     Sink:   53.3%   Undecided:   36.7%                            
      Asian or Pacific Islander   8 responses
      Peters:   12.5%     Sink:   37.5%   Undecided:   50.0%                            
      Hispanic   17 responses
      Peters:   41.2%     Sink:   35.3%   Undecided:   23.5%                            
      Other or Unknown   15 responses
      Peters:   20.0%     Sink:   66.7%   Undecided:   13.3%                            
  Gender Breakdown:
      Male   509 responses
      Peters:   32.8%     Sink:   47.3%   Undecided:   19.8%                            
      Female   743 responses
      Peters:   29.3%     Sink:   51.3%   Undecided:   19.4%                            
  Age Breakdown:
      18 to 29   40 responses
      Peters:   37.5%     Sink:   40.0%   Undecided:   22.5%                            
      30 to 49   250 responses
      Peters:   30.0%     Sink:   47.6%   Undecided:   22.4%                            
      50 to 69   568 responses
      Peters:   31.7%     Sink:   53.0%   Undecided:   15.3%                            
      70 and up   394 responses
      Peters:   29.2%     Sink:   47.2%   Undecided:   23.6%                            
If the candidates were David Jolly and Alex Sink, who would you vote for?   1252 responses
Jolly: 35.1%   Sink: 49.3%   Undecided: 15.7%                            
  Political Party Breakdown:
      Democratic Party   429 responses
      Jolly:   12.4%     Sink:   75.5%   Undecided:   12.1%                            
      Republican Party   582 responses
      Jolly:   56.0%     Sink:   27.0%   Undecided:   17.0%                            
      Independent Voter   241 responses
      Jolly:   24.9%     Sink:   56.4%   Undecided:   18.7%                            
  Race Breakdown:
      White, Not Hispanic   1182 responses
      Jolly:   36.0%     Sink:   49.2%   Undecided:   14.8%                            
      Black, Not Hispanic   30 responses
      Jolly:   10.0%     Sink:   50.0%   Undecided:   40.0%                            
      Asian or Pacific Islander   8 responses
      Jolly:   12.5%     Sink:   50.0%   Undecided:   37.5%                            
      Hispanic   17 responses
      Jolly:   41.2%     Sink:   35.3%   Undecided:   23.5%                            
      Other or Unknown   15 responses
      Jolly:   13.3%     Sink:   73.3%   Undecided:   13.3%                            
  Gender Breakdown:
      Male   509 responses
      Jolly:   37.7%     Sink:   47.0%   Undecided:   15.3%                            
      Female   743 responses
      Jolly:   33.2%     Sink:   50.9%   Undecided:   15.9%                            
  Age Breakdown:
      18 to 29   40 responses
      Jolly:   42.5%     Sink:   42.5%   Undecided:   15.0%                            
      30 to 49   250 responses
      Jolly:   35.2%     Sink:   45.6%   Undecided:   19.2%                            
      50 to 69   568 responses
      Jolly:   33.1%     Sink:   54.4%   Undecided:   12.5%                            
      70 and up   394 responses
      Jolly:   37.1%     Sink:   44.9%   Undecided:   18.0%                            
In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for David Jolly, Kathleen Peters or Someone else?   582 responses
Jolly: 40.0%   Peters: 17.4%   Someone else: 29.9%   Unsure: 12.7%                        
  Political Party Breakdown:
      Democratic Party   0 responses
      Jolly:  0%     Peters:  0%   Someone else:  0%     Unsure:  0%                        
      Republican Party   582 responses
      Jolly:   40.0%     Peters:   17.4%   Someone else:   29.9%     Unsure:   12.7%                        
      Independent Voter   0 responses
      Jolly:  0%     Peters:  0%   Someone else:  0%     Unsure:  0%                        
  Race Breakdown:
      White, Not Hispanic   568 responses
      Jolly:   40.5%     Peters:   17.1%   Someone else:   29.8%     Unsure:   12.7%                        
      Black, Not Hispanic   2 responses
      Jolly:  0%     Peters:  0%   Someone else:  100.0%     Unsure:  0%                        
      Asian or Pacific Islander   1 responses
      Jolly:  0%     Peters:  0%   Someone else:  100.0%     Unsure:  0%                        
      Hispanic   7 responses
      Jolly:   28.6%     Peters:   42.9%   Someone else:   14.3%     Unsure:   14.3%                        
      Other or Unknown   4 responses
      Jolly:   25.0%     Peters:   25.0%   Someone else:   25.0%     Unsure:   25.0%                        
  Gender Breakdown:
      Male   253 responses
      Jolly:   41.9%     Peters:   15.0%   Someone else:   32.0%     Unsure:   11.1%                        
      Female   329 responses
      Jolly:   38.6%     Peters:   19.1%   Someone else:   28.3%     Unsure:   14.0%                        
  Age Breakdown:
      18 to 29   17 responses
      Jolly:   58.8%     Peters:   11.8%   Someone else:   29.4%     Unsure:  0%                        
      30 to 49   98 responses
      Jolly:   41.8%     Peters:   15.3%   Someone else:   23.5%     Unsure:   19.4%                        
      50 to 69   258 responses
      Jolly:   34.9%     Peters:   19.8%   Someone else:   34.9%     Unsure:   10.5%                        
      70 and up   209 responses
      Jolly:   44.0%     Peters:   15.8%   Someone else:   26.8%     Unsure:   13.4%                        
 
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