Gainesville Surveys
 
March 2013 City of Gainesville General Survey

Telephone survey of registered voters within the City of Gainesville, conducted on March 14th, 2013:

In our March Gainesville general city poll, we asked about March's election for Mayor, the biomass plant and a couple more questions.

Total people polled: 566

These results were scientifically weighted by political party and age.
Margin of error is shown for each question


In the race for Mayor, do you support Ed Braddy, Scherwin L. Henry, Pete Johnson, Craig Lowe, Donald Shephard Sr. or Mark Venzke?
        (566 responses, margin of error ± 4.1% at a 95% confidence level)
    Ed Braddy:                  28.7%
    Scherwin L. Henry:       14.9%
    Pete Johnson:                7.3%
    Craig Lowe:                  24.8%
    Donald Shephard Sr.:      2.1%
    Mark Venzke:                2.0%
    Undecided:                   20.2%

Do you support the city charter amendment changing the length of the terms of the elected city officials?
        (566 responses, margin of error ± 4.1% at a 95% confidence level)
    Yes:               29.8%
    No:                 33.3%
    Undecided:     36.9%

Do you support the biomass electric plant that will be brought on-line later this year?
        (566 responses, margin of error ± 4.1% at a 95% confidence level)
    Yes:               30.2%
    No:                 42.1%
    Unsure:           27.7%

In the race for City commission district 4, do you support Alfredo Espinosa, W.E. "Mac" McEachern or Randy Wells?
        (113 responses, margin of error ± 9.2% at a 95% confidence level)
    Alfredo Espinosa:               32.1%
    W.E. "Mac" McEachern:     15.2%
    Randy Wells:                     22.4%
    Undecided:                        30.3%



DETAILED DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWNS (non-weighted percentages):



In the race for Mayor, do you support Ed Braddy, Scherwin L. Henry, Pete Johnson, Craig Lowe, Donald Shephard Sr. or Mark Venzke?   566 responses
Braddy: 29.0%   Henry: 15.2%   Johnson: 7.2%   Lowe: 24.9%   Shephard: 2.1%   Venzke: 1.9%   Undecided: 19.6%            
  Political Party Breakdown:
      Democratic Party   322 responses
      Braddy:   14.6%     Henry:   21.7%   Johnson:   6.5%     Lowe:   34.5%     Shephard:   3.1%     Venzke:   1.9%     Undecided:   17.7%            
      Republican Party   137 responses
      Braddy:   64.2%     Henry:   4.4%   Johnson:   5.8%     Lowe:   5.1%     Shephard:   0.7%     Venzke:   2.2%     Undecided:   17.5%            
      Independent Voter   107 responses
      Braddy:   27.1%     Henry:   9.3%   Johnson:   11.2%     Lowe:   21.5%     Shephard:   0.9%     Venzke:   1.9%     Undecided:   28.0%            
  Race Breakdown:
      White, Not Hispanic   364 responses
      Braddy:   36.8%     Henry:   5.5%   Johnson:   8.8%     Lowe:   29.7%     Shephard:   1.9%     Venzke:   2.2%     Undecided:   15.1%            
      Black, Not Hispanic   127 responses
      Braddy:   11.8%     Henry:   43.3%   Johnson:   5.5%     Lowe:   10.2%     Shephard:   3.1%     Venzke:   1.6%     Undecided:   24.4%            
      Asian or Pacific Islander   18 responses
      Braddy:   11.1%     Henry:   22.2%   Johnson:   11.1%     Lowe:   22.2%     Shephard:  0%     Venzke:  0%     Undecided:   33.3%            
      Hispanic   36 responses
      Braddy:   19.4%     Henry:  0%   Johnson:  0%     Lowe:   38.9%     Shephard:   2.8%     Venzke:   2.8%     Undecided:   36.1%            
      Other or Unknown   17 responses
      Braddy:   29.4%     Henry:   35.3%   Johnson:  0%     Lowe:   11.8%     Shephard:  0%     Venzke:  0%     Undecided:   23.5%            
  Gender Breakdown:
      Male   282 responses
      Braddy:   30.1%     Henry:   11.7%   Johnson:   6.0%     Lowe:   27.0%     Shephard:   2.1%     Venzke:   2.8%     Undecided:   20.2%            
      Female   284 responses
      Braddy:   27.8%     Henry:   18.7%   Johnson:   8.5%     Lowe:   22.9%     Shephard:   2.1%     Venzke:   1.1%     Undecided:   19.0%            
  Age Breakdown:
      18 to 29   240 responses
      Braddy:   18.8%     Henry:   9.2%   Johnson:   11.2%     Lowe:   26.2%     Shephard:   3.3%     Venzke:   3.3%     Undecided:   27.9%            
      30 to 49   148 responses
      Braddy:   30.4%     Henry:   20.9%   Johnson:   4.1%     Lowe:   28.4%     Shephard:   1.4%     Venzke:   1.4%     Undecided:   13.5%            
      50 to 69   121 responses
      Braddy:   40.5%     Henry:   18.2%   Johnson:   6.6%     Lowe:   19.0%     Shephard:   1.7%     Venzke:   0.8%     Undecided:   13.2%            
      70 and up   57 responses
      Braddy:   43.9%     Henry:   19.3%   Johnson:  0%     Lowe:   22.8%     Shephard:  0%     Venzke:  0%     Undecided:   14.0%            
Do you support the city charter amendment changing the length of the terms of the elected city officials?   566 responses
Yes: 29.9%   No: 33.6%   Undecided: 36.6%                            
  Political Party Breakdown:
      Democratic Party   322 responses
      Yes:   33.2%     No:   30.1%   Undecided:   36.6%                            
      Republican Party   137 responses
      Yes:   22.6%     No:   46.7%   Undecided:   30.7%                            
      Independent Voter   107 responses
      Yes:   29.0%     No:   27.1%   Undecided:   43.9%                            
  Race Breakdown:
      White, Not Hispanic   364 responses
      Yes:   31.0%     No:   37.1%   Undecided:   31.9%                            
      Black, Not Hispanic   127 responses
      Yes:   27.6%     No:   26.8%   Undecided:   45.7%                            
      Asian or Pacific Islander   18 responses
      Yes:   33.3%     No:   16.7%   Undecided:   50.0%                            
      Hispanic   36 responses
      Yes:   19.4%     No:   30.6%   Undecided:   50.0%                            
      Other or Unknown   17 responses
      Yes:   47.1%     No:   29.4%   Undecided:   23.5%                            
  Gender Breakdown:
      Male   282 responses
      Yes:   29.1%     No:   33.7%   Undecided:   37.2%                            
      Female   284 responses
      Yes:   30.6%     No:   33.5%   Undecided:   35.9%                            
  Age Breakdown:
      18 to 29   240 responses
      Yes:   26.2%     No:   31.2%   Undecided:   42.5%                            
      30 to 49   148 responses
      Yes:   33.1%     No:   30.4%   Undecided:   36.5%                            
      50 to 69   121 responses
      Yes:   28.1%     No:   42.1%   Undecided:   29.8%                            
      70 and up   57 responses
      Yes:   40.4%     No:   33.3%   Undecided:   26.3%                            
Do you support the biomass electric plant that will be brought on-line later this year?   566 responses
Yes: 30.0%   No: 42.6%   Unsure: 27.4%                            
  Political Party Breakdown:
      Democratic Party   322 responses
      Yes:   34.2%     No:   35.7%   Unsure:   30.1%                            
      Republican Party   137 responses
      Yes:   21.2%     No:   60.6%   Unsure:   18.2%                            
      Independent Voter   107 responses
      Yes:   29.0%     No:   40.2%   Unsure:   30.8%                            
  Race Breakdown:
      White, Not Hispanic   364 responses
      Yes:   31.6%     No:   47.3%   Unsure:   21.2%                            
      Black, Not Hispanic   127 responses
      Yes:   24.4%     No:   37.0%   Unsure:   38.6%                            
      Asian or Pacific Islander   18 responses
      Yes:   27.8%     No:   22.2%   Unsure:   50.0%                            
      Hispanic   36 responses
      Yes:   36.1%     No:   25.0%   Unsure:   38.9%                            
      Other or Unknown   17 responses
      Yes:   35.3%     No:   47.1%   Unsure:   17.6%                            
  Gender Breakdown:
      Male   282 responses
      Yes:   34.0%     No:   42.6%   Unsure:   23.4%                            
      Female   284 responses
      Yes:   26.1%     No:   42.6%   Unsure:   31.3%                            
  Age Breakdown:
      18 to 29   240 responses
      Yes:   37.9%     No:   27.5%   Unsure:   34.6%                            
      30 to 49   148 responses
      Yes:   23.0%     No:   51.4%   Unsure:   25.7%                            
      50 to 69   121 responses
      Yes:   28.1%     No:   53.7%   Unsure:   18.2%                            
      70 and up   57 responses
      Yes:   19.3%     No:   59.6%   Unsure:   21.1%                            
In the race for City commission district 4, do you support Alfredo Espinosa, W.E. Mac McEachern or Randy Wells?   113 responses
Espinosa: 31.9%   McEachern: 15.0%   Wells: 23.0%   Undecided: 30.1%                        
  Political Party Breakdown:
      Democratic Party   57 responses
      Espinosa:   24.6%     McEachern:   10.5%   Wells:   36.8%     Undecided:   28.1%                        
      Republican Party   24 responses
      Espinosa:   37.5%     McEachern:   29.2%   Wells:   8.3%     Undecided:   25.0%                        
      Independent Voter   32 responses
      Espinosa:   40.6%     McEachern:   12.5%   Wells:   9.4%     Undecided:   37.5%                        
  Race Breakdown:
      White, Not Hispanic   75 responses
      Espinosa:   33.3%     McEachern:   12.0%   Wells:   24.0%     Undecided:   30.7%                        
      Black, Not Hispanic   14 responses
      Espinosa:   35.7%     McEachern:   14.3%   Wells:   42.9%     Undecided:   7.1%                        
      Asian or Pacific Islander   6 responses
      Espinosa:  0%     McEachern:   33.3%   Wells:  0%     Undecided:   66.7%                        
      Hispanic   13 responses
      Espinosa:   38.5%     McEachern:   15.4%   Wells:   15.4%     Undecided:   30.8%                        
      Other or Unknown   4 responses
      Espinosa:   25.0%     McEachern:   50.0%   Wells:  0%     Undecided:   25.0%                        
  Gender Breakdown:
      Male   60 responses
      Espinosa:   38.3%     McEachern:   10.0%   Wells:   20.0%     Undecided:   31.7%                        
      Female   53 responses
      Espinosa:   24.5%     McEachern:   20.8%   Wells:   26.4%     Undecided:   28.3%                        
  Age Breakdown:
      18 to 29   77 responses
      Espinosa:   37.7%     McEachern:   15.6%   Wells:   14.3%     Undecided:   32.5%                        
      30 to 49   17 responses
      Espinosa:   35.3%     McEachern:   5.9%   Wells:   41.2%     Undecided:   17.6%                        
      50 to 69   13 responses
      Espinosa:   7.7%     McEachern:   7.7%   Wells:   38.5%     Undecided:   46.2%                        
      70 and up   6 responses
      Espinosa:  0%     McEachern:   50.0%   Wells:   50.0%     Undecided:  0%                        
 
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